Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Past, present and future distributions of Oriental beech (Fagus orientalis) under climate change projections
Eurasia Institute of Earth Sciences, Istanbul Technical University.
Swedish Museum of Natural History, Department of Paleobiology.
Swedish Museum of Natural History, Department of Paleobiology.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9535-1206
Department of Forest Botany, Faculty of Forestry, Istanbul University-Cerrahpasa.
Show others and affiliations
2020 (English)In: PLOS ONE, E-ISSN 1932-6203, Vol. 15, no 11, p. 1-19, article id e0242280Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Species distribution models can help predicting range shifts under climate change. The aimof this study is to investigate the late Quaternary distribution of Oriental beech (Fagus orientalis)and to project future distribution ranges under different climate change scenarios usinga combined palaeobotanical, phylogeographic, and modelling approach. Five species distributionmodelling algorithms under the R-package ‘biomod2‘were applied to occurrence dataof Fagus orientalis to predict distributions under present, past (Last Glacial Maximum, 21ka, Mid-Holocene, 6 ka), and future climatic conditions with different scenarios obtainedfrom MIROC-ESM and CCSM4 global climate models. Distribution models were comparedto palaeobotanical and phylogeographic evidence. Pollen data indicate northern Turkey andthe western Caucasus as refugia for Oriental beech during the Last Glacial Maximum.Although pollen records are missing, molecular data point to Last Glacial Maximum refugiain northern Iran. For the mid-Holocene, pollen data support the presence of beech in thestudy region. Species distribution models predicted present and Last Glacial Maximum distributionof Fagus orientalis moderately well yet underestimated mid-Holocene ranges.Future projections under various climate scenarios indicate northern Iran and the Caucasusregion as major refugia for Oriental beech. Combining palaeobotanical, phylogeographicand modelling approaches is useful when making projections about distributions of plants.Palaeobotanical and molecular evidence reject some of the model projections. Nevertheless,the projected range reduction in the Caucasus region and northern Iran highlights theirimportance as long-term refugia, possibly related to higher humidity, stronger environmentaland climatic heterogeneity and strong vertical zonation of the forest vegetation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2020. Vol. 15, no 11, p. 1-19, article id e0242280
National Category
Other Earth and Related Environmental Sciences Botany
Research subject
The changing Earth; Ecosystems and species history
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:nrm:diva-4161DOI: 10.1371/journal. pone.0242280OAI: oai:DiVA.org:nrm-4161DiVA, id: diva2:1515984
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2015- 03986Available from: 2021-01-11 Created: 2021-01-11 Last updated: 2021-06-14Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

Dagtekin et al 2020 F orientalis(2153 kB)82 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 2153 kBChecksum SHA-512
42713f52b51da75bd303b580fd5cdab0627471d6d400863162162302e48b4666b1f3721bb1987352e79a0f2185cd0003273ca95d3a7115ddbe15afea0a8e4a7d
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full texthttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0242280

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Denk, Thomas
By organisation
Department of Paleobiology
In the same journal
PLOS ONE
Other Earth and Related Environmental SciencesBotany

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 82 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 496 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf