Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Near-future pCO2 during the hot Mid Miocene Climatic Optimum
Swedish Museum of Natural History, Department of Paleobiology. Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7893-1142
2021 (English)In: Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, ISSN 2572-4517, E-ISSN 2572-4525, Vol. 36, no 1, article id e2020PA003900Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

To improve future predictions of anthropogenic climate change, a better understanding of the relationship between global temperature and atmospheric concentrations of CO2 (pCO2), orclimate sensitivity, is urgently required. Analyzing proxy data from climate change episodesin the past is necessary to achieve this goal, with certain geologic periods, such as the midMiocene Climatic Optimum (MCO), a transient period of global warming with globaltemperatures up to ~7°C higher than today, increasingly viewed as good analogues to future climate under present emission scenarios. However, a problem remains that climate modelscannot reproduce MCO temperatures with less than ~800 ppm pCO2, while most previously published proxies record pCO2 <450 ppm. Here, we reconstructed MCO pCO2 with a multitaxon fossil leaf database from the well-dated MCO Lagerstätte deposits of Clarkia, Idaho,USA, using four current methods of pCO2 reconstructions. The methods are principally based on either stomatal densities, carbon isotopes, or a combination of both – thus offering independent results. The total of six reconstructions mostly record pCO2 of ~450–550 ppm. Although slightly higher than previously reconstructed pCO2, the discrepancy with the ~800 ppm required by climate models remains. We conclude that climate sensitivity was heightened during MCO, indicating that highly elevated temperatures can occur at relatively moderate pCO2. Ever higher climate sensitivity with rising temperatures should be very seriously considered in future predictions of climate change.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
London: Taylor & Francis, 2021. Vol. 36, no 1, article id e2020PA003900
Keywords [en]
Mid Miocene Climatic Optimum, stomatal proxy, pCO2 reconstruction, palaeo-climate
National Category
Natural Sciences Other Earth and Related Environmental Sciences
Research subject
The changing Earth
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:nrm:diva-4028DOI: 10.1029/2020PA003900OAI: oai:DiVA.org:nrm-4028DiVA, id: diva2:1510122
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2016-04905Available from: 2020-12-15 Created: 2020-12-15 Last updated: 2022-01-11Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(1686 kB)94 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 1686 kBChecksum SHA-512
c034797921327767d580f7e90133149e1a9649245f95dc27e8a530eb466ebf613a549c1261b979955f1db8dfaf2e56c50b5ce26b9077ce8c99c6a9dfc4fa514b
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full texthttps://doi.org/10.1029/2020PA003900

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Steinthorsdottir, Margret
By organisation
Department of Paleobiology
In the same journal
Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology
Natural SciencesOther Earth and Related Environmental Sciences

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 94 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 526 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf